Smart Trading For Profits Smart Trading 02

Working Through Your Trading Confidence Crisis

September 13th, 2007 · No Comments

Even as a seasoned trader, do you still face doubts about your trading ability? Does your confidence sometimes waver in chaotic market conditions? As a novice trader, do you feel that more experienced traders never ever have doubts?

Having rock solid confidence as a trader is almost impossible. While there may be some who have attained such a status, they are probably very few. However, it doesn’t mean that it’s not something that we all want as traders. Who doesn’t want to have unshakable confidence in their trading abilities? ;-)

There are quite a few reasons why sometimes your confidence can be shaken. The facts are no one is able to reliably and consistently get market direction right every single time. And all trading systems go through periods of drawdown. Some are shorter in duration, some seem to last forever. During such periods, it’s only human to ask if your system is going to “bounce back” and start making profits again.

Unless you have perfect information about the markets, you’ll never know for certain what’s going to happen tomorrow or the week after. And let’s not even talk about the first few minutes after entering a trade!

Not to mention, even if you are able to execute your trading strategy perfectly, there’s always a chance that something else may go wrong. Like your computer crashing, sudden government announcements regarding capital controls, media hype or your broker’s systems going off-line.

What Underlies This Confidence Crisis?

This confidence crisis comes about mainly from a few main fears:

  1. Fear of losing money
  2. Fear that your trading system isn’t as sound as you hope it is

Fear of Losing Money

The fear of losing money can shake your confidence and cause you to worry, especially if your system goes through a drawdown. Ever heard of the saying “Scared Money Can’t Win”?

If you’re trading with money you can’t afford to lose, it makes it easy for anxiety, worries and fears to jump up whenever you go through a period of drawdown. Whether it’s your own money, or you are trading professionally, as long as you have “something to lose” you will have these fears at some level or other.

Even if your trading system were perfectly sound, your emotions can cloud your thinking and impair your ability to trade correctly.

Fear That Your Trading System Isn’t Robust

Because of the lack of perfect information, which is virtually impossible to attain anyway, you might have the worry that your trading system has “broken down”. That’s also a very normal experience that all traders go through whether they just started trading or if they have been trading for a long time.

If you employ a trending system and the markets go into consolidation, your trending system tends to get whipsawed for consecutive losses. If you employ a counter-trend trading system, it will go into periods of drawdown when the markets trend.

Resolving This Trading Confidence Crisis

How do you then resolve this trading confidence crisis?

Top athletes who compete at the very highest levels have very little separating them in terms of physical ability. Unless you’re Tiger Woods or Roger Federer. ;-) The main component that separates these top athletes from the others is the mental edge.

To resolve this issue of the lack of confidence, it’s to your best interests to acquire as much knowledge and experience as possible in trading different market conditions. The larger your wealth of trading knowledge and experience, the less likely you are going to suffer major bouts of low confidence.

Knowledge in managing your trading risk, experience in navigating different market conditions and knowledge why your particular trading system works will help you reduce your self-doubts. If you know that your trading system works best in specific market conditions, then only use those systems in those specific market conditions and no other.

Over a period of time as you gain experience and knowledge, your mental strength and ability to handle the stresses that come from trading increases. Your mental ability to stick to your trading strategies becomes more consistent, and you don’t stress out as much as a rookie.

That doesn’t mean that you don’t make mistakes, but you start making fewer and fewer, and you don’t beat yourself over them anymore. When you make profits or losses, you don’t get as excited because it’s just another day in the office. After awhile, you expect to experience the natural ups and downs that comes from trading.

So if you are a novice trader, realize that as you hone your trading skills and gain experience, your confidence crisis will start to fade into the background. If you are an experienced trader, it’s useful to remind yourself that every trader gets into occasional slumps. What you have to do is keep your mind focused on the upswing that you know will be coming.

Keep on trading and you’ll eventually regain your momentum. If you can’t handle it, then take a breather and sit out the markets until you calm down. When you can think rationally again, you’ll eventually work through your self-doubts and return to profitability.

However, that doesn’t mean you don’t need a profitable trading system in the first place. You still do. ;-)

Tags: Forex Trading · Trading Lessons · Trading Psychology

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